Big Tech's custom-chip ambitions are redrawing the MLCC market

The rush by global cloud-service providers (CSPs) to design their own custom AI chips — known as ASICs, or application-specific integrated circuits — is triggering a structural shift in the market for multilayer ceramic capacitors (MLCCs), the tiny passive components that regulate power and filter noise in virtually every electronic device. In a report published on 17th June 2026, the market research firm TrendForce warned that "the proliferation of in-house ASICs among CSPs is concentrating MLCC demand around a narrow band of high-end specifications, and a structural supply shortage of premium specialty MLCCs could materialise from the second half of 2026." At the centre of that forecast sits Samsung Electro-Mechanics.

What custom chips demand from an MLCC

Google, Amazon, Microsoft and their peers are accelerating the development of proprietary AI accelerator chips in order to reduce their dependence on Nvidia's GPUs. As those chips make their way into servers and data-centre boards, the specifications demanded of surrounding passive components are rising sharply. Because in-house ASICs are optimised for power density and processing speed in ways that general-purpose GPUs are not, the MLCCs that support them must simultaneously meet a demanding combination of requirements: miniaturisation to form factors of 0402M (0.4×0.2 mm) or smaller; high capacitance of 10 microfarads or more; low equivalent series inductance (ESL); and enhanced heat resistance.

This "specification concentration" is qualitatively different from a simple increase in volumes. It creates demand for a narrow category of components that commodity MLCC production lines cannot replicate. TrendForce warned that a supply-demand imbalance in high-end specialty MLCCs for servers will become visible in the second half of 2026.

Samsung Electro-Mechanics has prepared in advance

Samsung Electro-Mechanics is better placed than almost any rival to capture this shift. The company has formally announced an expanded line-up of high-specification MLCCs designed specifically for AI servers and data centres. According to its product disclosures, it is already supplying server customers with ultra-compact 0402M components that achieve high capacitance, as well as low-ESL designs that maximise power-conversion efficiency.

The company's proprietary capabilities in dielectric materials and multilayer stacking technology are widely seen as giving it a competitive edge in premium-specification territory that commodity producers cannot easily enter. Industry observers expect Samsung Electro-Mechanics' revenue from server and AI-infrastructure MLCCs to grow by double digits in 2026 compared with 2025.

Why the shortage could prove structural

TrendForce's use of the phrase "structural supply shortage" is deliberate. High-end specialty MLCCs cannot be produced simply by adding capacity or switching lines at short notice. The required precision in material formulation, sintering-temperature control and ultra-fine multilayer processes demands years of prior research and capital investment. Only a handful of manufacturers — Japan's Murata and TDK, South Korea's Samsung Electro-Mechanics, and Taiwan's Yageo — can supply competitively in this segment. High barriers to entry mean that supply expansion is inherently slow. The scenario in which surging second-half 2026 demand outruns available supply is emerging as a credible and material risk.

Echoes of 2018, but with a different character

The MLCC super-cycle of 2018 was triggered by simultaneous demand explosions in smartphones and automotive electronics. Samsung Electro-Mechanics' operating profit surged by several hundred per cent year-on-year, and MLCC prices rose by tens of per cent within a short period. The coming episode resembles 2018 in some respects but differs in an important one. The 2018 crisis was a shortage of volume; the risk in the second half of 2026 is a shortage of a particular specification. The commodity MLCC market remains in chronic oversupply, while the high-end server segment faces extreme tightness — a bifurcated structure with distinct dynamics in each tier.

Some analysts caution that this structure may limit Samsung Electro-Mechanics' pricing power: CSPs are large, sophisticated buyers who are already locking in preferred suppliers through long-term contracts and joint design agreements (JDAs). Samsung Electro-Mechanics is understood to be deepening strategic partnerships with several major CSPs through precisely this route, which may constrain headline price gains even as it secures volume and revenue visibility.

MLCC re-emerges as a growth engine

Samsung Electro-Mechanics has faced years of margin pressure from sluggish consumer-electronics demand and falling prices for commodity MLCCs. The AI infrastructure investment boom offers a structural reversal of that pressure. Average selling prices (ASPs) for premium specialty MLCCs can be several times to several tens of times those of commodity equivalents. If supply constraints keep ASP premiums elevated, revenue growth and margin improvement could arrive together.

The company has already formalised a portfolio shift towards high-value-added products, raising the share of server and AI-related passive components. A further competitive advantage lies in the potential synergy with its flip-chip ball-grid-array (FC-BGA) semiconductor substrate business: the ability to supply both the substrates that package AI accelerator chips and the MLCCs that surround them positions Samsung Electro-Mechanics as a one-stop solution that few rivals can match.

Outlook: technology depth determines market position

TrendForce's warning signals something larger than a near-term supply squeeze. The competitive axis of the MLCC industry is shifting from scale — how many units a manufacturer can produce — to technical depth: how demanding a specification it can reliably achieve. For technology leaders this is an opportunity; for manufacturers concentrated in commodity products it represents structural pressure towards obsolescence.

Samsung Electro-Mechanics is pursuing technological investment and customer diversification simultaneously at this inflection point. Should the specialty MLCC shortage materialise in the second half of 2026 as forecast, both the company's pricing leverage and its profitability are likely to improve in tandem. The key variables to watch are changes in CSPs' design cycles and procurement strategies, and the speed at which rivals such as Murata are able to respond with additional supply. How effectively Samsung Electro-Mechanics captures this technically intensive demand cycle will be the single most important determinant of its enterprise value over the next two to three years.